Monday, July 26, 2010

Technical Indicators - Fibonacci

Fibonacci tools utilize special ratios that naturally occur in nature to help predict points of support or resistance. Fibonacci numbers are 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, etc. The sequence occurs by adding the previous two numbers (i.e. 1+1=2, 2+3=5) The main ratio used is .618, this is found by dividing one Fibonacci number into the next in sequence Fibonacci number (55/89=0.618). The logic most often used by Fibonacci based traders is that since Fibonacci numbers occur in nature and the stock, futures, and currency markets are creations of nature - humans.

Technical Indicators - Fibonacci Time Extensions

Fibonacci Time Extensions are used to predict periods of price change (i.e. lows or highs). For example, after a downtrend, a reversal would be expected at a significant Fibonacci Time Extension line. Similarly, after an uptrend, a reversal warning could occur if a Fibonacci Time Extension was soon approaching.
The Fibonacci Time Extension tool is created by locating a significant high (low) and finding a significant retracement or extension low (high). The major Fibonacci ratios are then calculated and plotted by charting software.

Technical Indicators - Fibonacci Fans

Fibonacci Fans use Fibonacci ratios based on time and price to construct support and resistance trendlines; also, Fibonacci Fans are used to measure the speed of a trend's movement, higher or lower.
  • If prices move below a Fibonacci Fan trendline, then price is usually expected to fall further until the next Fibonacci Fan trendline level; therefore, Fibonacci Fan trendlines are expected to serve as support for uptrending markets.
  • Likewise, in a downtrend, if price rises to a Fibonacci Fan trendline, then that trendline is expected to act as resistance; if that price is pierced, then the next Fibonacci Fan trendline higher is expected to act as resistance.

Technical Indicators - Fibonacci Arcs

Fibonacci Arcs are percentage arcs based on the distance between major price highs and price lows. Therefore, with a major high, major low distance of 100 units, the 31.8% Fibonacci Arc would be a 31.8 unit semi-circle.
The chart below of the S&P 500 exchange traded fund (SPY) shows an example of a Fibonacci Arc:




Technical Indicators - Fibonacci Retracement

Arguably the most heavily used Fibonacci tool is the Fibonacci Retracement. To calculate the Fibonacci Retracement levels, a significant low to a significant high should be found. From there, prices should retrace the initial difference (low to high or high to low) by a ratio of the Fibonacci sequence, generally the 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, or the 76.4% retracement.

The 25 Point Discipline For Day Trader - #9, #10 And #11

I continue my post about The 25 Point Discipline For Day Trader. And below is the 9th, 10th and 11st point
 
#9 EARN THE RIGHT TO TRADE BIGGER.
Too many new traders think that because they have $25,000 equity in their trading account that they somehow have the right to trade five or ten e-Mini S&P contracts. This cannot be further from the truth. If you can't trade a one lot successfully, what makes you think that you have the right to trade a 10 lot?
I demand that my students show me a trading profit over the course of ten consecutive trading days trading a one lot only. When they have achieved a profitable ten-day period, in my eyes, they have earned the right to trade a two lot for the next ten trading sessions.
Remember: if you are trading poorly with two lots you must lower your trade size down to a one lot.

Today's Forex Prediction - July 26, 2010

PAIR TODAY'S PREDICTION
MAX MIN
EUR/USD 1.2990 1.2836

See : How To Applying My Prediction

Yesterday Prediction Rate : ACCURATE (Error < 50pips)